28 Aug 2013 10:02:14
According to skys bet, Arsenal are now favorites to sign Juan Mata, displacing Manchester United.

Arsenal have come in from 16/1 to 2/1 to sign Juan Mata following sustained betting overnight. They're now favourites, displacing Manchester United who have drifted out to 9/1. See all our transfer odds here.

Thats a huge change from 16/1 to 2/1

{Ed022's Note - Ed022's note of caution. Betting odds are not indicative of us then signing the player. We were favourites to sign Fellaini and he still plays for Everton. We were favourites for Higuan and he now scores for Napoli. We were favourites to sign Hazard and he plays for Chelsea and lastly we were favourites for Mata THE FIRST TIME and obviously he is still not an Arsenal player...}


1.) 28 Aug 2013
Ah sky.

been ripping of Arsenal fans since 2005


2.) 28 Aug 2013
Totally agree with ed, I take odds with a pinch of salt.

Some fans have put a few quid on mata, because of speculation of mata's dad being at the game, hence the odds go down.

It's still speculation and it doesn't mean the deal will happen- whatever the odds 'say'.


3.) 28 Aug 2013
28 Aug 2013 10:34:55
It's not about Sky, it's about hype.


4.) 28 Aug 2013
Great point Ed - converting betting odds into 'probability of transfer' is usually completely misleading.

2/1 - as in we have a 50% chance of signing Mata? I highly doubt that.

{Ed022's Note - 95% of all statistics are made up. 3/4 of the public know that. Betting odds carry about as much weight as hydrogen...}


5.) 28 Aug 2013
I hope to God we sign Mata and before Sunday aswell. However this shows the stupidity of Wenger at times. He could have signed Mata for £17m originally but didn't want to pay the asking price as usual, yet now he is willing to pay £30 - £40m 2 seasons later.


6.) 28 Aug 2013
2/1 is a 33% chance.


7.) 28 Aug 2013
97% of Ed022's comment was VERY funny.


8.) 28 Aug 2013
Mata isn't signing, apparently its a cover for Demba Ba negotiations. We get Ba if we stop hassling Newcastle for Cabaye

{Ed022's Note - With a name like yours its hard not to believe you... Ba is in talks with Newcastle and West Ham currently...}


9.) 28 Aug 2013
Maybe he was but Man United are now 5/1 favs and we are now 6/1 so didn't last long.


10.) 28 Aug 2013
We're not getting mata so just stop this


11.) 29 Aug 2013
28 Aug 2013 23:00:46
Yeah Sky done the same thing with Higuain and Suarez and people bet their niagras on them and done their money too. Don't get sucked in by them


12.) 29 Aug 2013
Chelski are not going to sell there best player from last season to us.